Hurricane Beryl is forecasted to generate rainfall amounts ranging from 4 to 8 inches.

After Hurricane Beryl intensified to a Category 5 while over the ocean, a Hurricane warning has been issued for Jamaica by the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane Beryl is forecasted to bring rainfall totals ranging from 4 to 8 inches across parts of Jamaica on Wednesday, with isolated amounts possibly reaching up to 12 inches. This could lead to flash flooding in vulnerable areas.

The outer bands of Beryl may affect southern regions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti starting late Tuesday into Wednesday, potentially resulting in 2 to 6 inches of rainfall in these areas.

Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Caribbean Sea, where Beryl currently resides, are warmer than usual for this time of year, akin to conditions typically seen during the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season rather than early July. This is contributing to Beryl's significant intensification.

The latest forecast indicates little change in strength overnight, with gradual weakening expected to commence on Tuesday as the storm moves west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea.

Beryl is projected to continue across the Caribbean Sea throughout the week, nearing Jamaica by Wednesday and likely weakening to a Category 2 storm by then. The storm's center and primary impacts are anticipated to pass south of the island, but the latest forecast suggests the storm's center may pass somewhat closer to Jamaica, potentially increasing the risk of heavier rain, wind, and storm surge impacts on its current trajectory.

A weakening trend is expected to persist as Beryl crosses the Caribbean Sea and encounters less favorable atmospheric conditions later in the week.

By the end of the week, Beryl is expected to approach Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, with a second landfall projected along the eastern coast on Friday. Beyond that, the system is likely to move into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico/Bay of Campeche, continuing to weaken, before potentially impacting parts of eastern Mexico next weekend as a tropical storm.

Unfortunately, the same general area of eastern Mexico is likely to experience impacts from all three of the first named storms of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Following impacts from Alberto and Tropical Storm Chris over the past 24 hours, Beryl is expected to bring additional impacts to this region later in the upcoming weekend.